EVENT NAME The Importance of Timely Analyses for Decision-Making during a Crisis EVENT DATE: WEDNESDAY, 27 JULY, 2022 - 09:30 AM to 11:00 AM Posted Questions [09:50 AM] Esrael Woldeeyesus asked : Is the rise in poverty only due to price increase or there are also other factors? For instance, in Ethiopia, the presentation states that the poverty rate is increased by 3%. Does this also due to conflict, drought, flooding, desert locust and COVID which could also affect household purchasing power 10 upvotes | 0 answer | 0 reply [09:50 AM] Nay Myo asked : What about the impact of climate change on the food security of those 19 countries? 10 upvotes | 0 answer | 0 reply [10:15 AM] John M. Ulimwengu asked : As far as fertilizer use is concerned, the real issue is about soil quality management which starts with a comprehensive soil nutrient mapping. Do you think that increasing access of small scale farmers to soil nutrient mapping technologies will improve fertilizer use efficiency? 7 upvotes | 0 answer | 0 reply [10:41 AM] Michelle O Fried asked : Given that small farmers produce 60 to 70% of all food consumed globally and that FAO recommends national policy focus on agroecology which doesn't use imported fertilizers or monoculture, how can such a model be analyzed in terms of sustainable agricultural management? 7 upvotes | 0 answer | 0 reply [09:56 AM] Mogaka Hezron asked : How effective is the application of fertilizer and fuel subsidies during the time of crisis particularly in weak and emerging economies? 6 upvotes | 0 answer | 0 reply [10:20 AM] Md. Humayun Kabir asked : Maintenance and improving of soil health is an issue that needs longer period of time and the interplay between organic and inorganic practices. How these things have been considered in different climatic zones. 6 upvotes | 0 answer | 0 reply [09:57 AM] Md. Humayun Kabir asked : In Bangladesh there was severe flood in some areas which also impacted on food prices. Other than Ukraine crisis in different countries different negative events happened whether they have been taken into consideration? Humayun Kabir, Bangladesh 5 upvotes | 0 answer | 0 reply [10:19 AM] Ulrike Pokorski da Cunha asked : And are we sure the promotion of these tools will not further increase dependency of farmers on fertilizers that are linked to global markets and therfore more susceptible to external shocks (e.g. Ucraine) as opposed to strengthening local resilience? 5 upvotes | 0 answer | 0 reply [10:28 AM] Rinette Soeropawiro asked : What are your experiences/analyses/evidence based studies regarding soil improvement focusing on enrichment and improvement of soil micro organisms? 5 upvotes | 0 answer | 0 reply [09:53 AM] John M. Ulimwengu asked : 1. Compared to the 2008-2009 crisis, what would be your assessment of the system’s capacity to absorb the current crisis? 4 upvotes | 0 answer | 0 reply [10:03 AM] Achikule Alex Azaria Yensuk asked : Can South Sudan be included in future assessments? The inflation here is affecting the price of food commodities, with local currency losing its value against hard currency on almost daily basis 4 upvotes | 0 answer | 0 reply [09:53 AM] John M. Ulimwengu asked : 2. Obviously, the three prices are not independent, how are you accounting for possible spillover of the effect of one to the other? 3 upvotes | 0 answer | 0 reply [10:11 AM] Ulrike Pokorski da Cunha asked : Has anyone looked at the effect of organic agriculture/ production of organic fertilizer and compost as a means to improve resilience against such external shocks in a quantitative way? 3 upvotes | 0 answer | 0 reply [10:14 AM] Tim Frankenberger asked : I think it is important to take into consideration the other shocks that are affecting these countries. Policy decisions have to also take into account climate shocks, conflict and COVID in addition to these food, fertilizer and fuel price shocks. 3 upvotes | 0 answer | 0 reply [09:51 AM] Nebiyu Waliyi Tekesa asked : Is there any short term possibilities to decrease the fertilizer price? Because the Ethiopian local farmers are complaining a lot about the rise of fertilizer price. 2 upvotes | 0 answer | 0 reply [10:00 AM] John M. Ulimwengu asked : Increase in food prices is not a negative shock for all households; indeed, for net food producers, this is rather a positive shock which should lead to increase in income. Does the analysis account for such net effect? 2 upvotes | 0 answer | 0 reply [10:19 AM] Ulrike Pokorski da Cunha asked : Is the data based fertilizer management also applicable for organic fertilizers or only for industrial chemical fertilizers? 2 upvotes | 0 answer | 0 reply [10:36 AM] Frank Nti asked : Fertilizer use is already pretty low in SSA countries, averaging 20kg /ha compared with over 135kg/ha in most developed countries. Hence, how effective is FUE as tool to mitigate the current crisis? 2 upvotes | 0 answer | 0 reply [10:08 AM] NANA ADWOA KONADU asked : @James.Apart from the key variables you presented,Do you have other variable analysis with respect to the 19 countries concerned? 1 upvote | 0 answer | 0 reply [10:13 AM] Shahena Parvin asked : Are soil health degradation and unstable market another factor for ensuring resilience and food security? 1 upvote | 0 answer | 0 reply [10:24 AM] Md. Humayun Kabir asked : Other than transplanted rice how far UDP use is effective? 1 upvote | 0 answer | 0 reply [10:30 AM] Yomif Worku asked : What are the current strategies of Feed the Future towards working how Government to adopt agrotechnology adaption to increase efficiencies in productivity? 1 upvote | 0 answer | 0 reply [10:36 AM] Reshmi Sarkar asked : What are plans to reduce the fertilizer use and improve soil health by management practice so that we can increase food production as well as reduce climate change impacts? 1 upvote | 0 answer | 0 reply [10:58 AM] Abdul Jabber Jufry asked : Institutional Architecture (IA) can be a tools or approach to facilitating sustainable improvements in the performance and outcomes of local policy systems 1 upvote | 0 answer | 0 reply [10:58 AM] Alfredo Rueda asked : WHERE WE CAN FIND A SIMILAR ANALYSIS OF THE CURRENT CRISIS FOR LATIN AMERICA? 1 upvote | 1 answer | 1 reply James Thurlow answered - IFPRI has related modeling work ongoing in Guatemala and Honduras (and possibly also Colombia). I'm afraid that, and this is a bigger challenge, demand for our modeling analyses often comes from outside of LAC. Alfredo Rueda replied - THANKS [10:09 AM] Julius Caesar Ssemyalo asked : Uganda recovery potential is projected beyond 2024? what are some of the 'rebound' policy initiatives open to the country 0 upvote | 0 answer | 0 reply [10:34 AM] Patrick Ketiem asked : Negative Impacts from the Ukraine crisis to African is worrying esp on food security. High cost of fertilizers and lack of subsidies may further double poverty levels by 2024. Any long term policy recommendations for governments 0 upvote | 0 answer | 0 reply [10:38 AM] McDonald Homer asked : South Africa has a tremendous economic influence in Southern Africa. Are there short-term measures, policies that South Africa could adopt that would help mitigate food insecurity in neighboring countries like Namibia, Mozambique, etc., in the wake of the Russia-Ukraine war? 0 upvote | 0 answer | 0 reply [10:38 AM] Carlos Pomareda asked : the current crisis affects more the availability of nitrogenous fertilizers. Have you made any analysis of disagregated requeriments by crops-vs availability of NPK¿? 0 upvote | 0 answer | 0 reply [10:39 AM] Billy Shinggu asked : The trade effects look positive for Nigeria in Ousmane's presentation. As an actor in the export sector in Nigeria, I see the indicators worsening due to rising prices of export commodities Nigeria has some competitive advantage. Rising prices are as a result of fertiliser, labour cost rises, etc 0 upvote | 0 answer | 0 reply [10:40 AM] Grace Gitu asked : On food crops, what impact would integration at Africa trade blocks have; EAC, COMESA, AFCFTA? 0 upvote | 0 answer | 0 reply [10:48 AM] Shokhboz Asadov asked : What are other policy tools potentially to utilize other than cash transfers, food tax relief to offset poverty impacts? 0 upvote | 1 answer | 0 reply James Thurlow answered - Our modeling of alternative policy options suggest that, while cash transfers (social protection) are a fairly cost-effective response to poverty, the improvements in fertilizer market and use efficiency that Upendra described, have to also be part of the solution since it is an underlying driver of rising poverty. [10:49 AM] McDonald Homer asked : Climate change, successive pandemics, a looming global recession. Has the forecast for global food security ever been as precarious as it now? Are we up to meet the challenge? 0 upvote | 0 answer | 0 reply [10:53 AM] anonymous asked : According to the worldwide crisis, I suggest that we can promote some incubation programs and cooperatives in a way to have the population actively involved in the Development. More people right now are leaving countryside to move to cities searching a better life. What do you think about this idea? 0 upvote | 0 answer | 0 reply