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COVID-19 Modeling and the Crop Cycle

Agrilinks Team

Jul 17, 2020
hand examine crop in the field
Photo Credit: Bobby Neptune for USAID

The effects of COVID-19 go well beyond the initial acute health impacts into prolonged repercussions on the economy, employment, poverty levels, safe water access, food security status, crop production, and much more. In this analysis, we looked at whether projections of COVID-19 case totals in low-and-middle-income countries (LMICs) overlapped with key phases in the crop production cycle to understand where, when, and on which important crops COVID-19 could take a toll. From this work, we can better inform our thinking on where to focus on Feed the Future programming, estimate which areas will be hit hardest next, and whether COVID-19 impacts will affect crops that are significant food sources, income generators, or both. Combined with data on the demographics of value chain actors involved in each affected crop, we could also see whether the impacts are projected to disproportionately impact women, smallholder farmers, small businesses, and other already-marginalized groups. 

You may find the full report in the sidebar. 

Filed Under: COVID-19 Climate and Natural Resources Monitoring, Evaluation, and Learning Resilience

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COVID-19 Modeling and the Crop Cycle.pdf3.95 MB

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